Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.491446 0.560720 0.632924 0.713516 0.800676 0.891829 0.994092
2024-12-15 0.414326 0.514321 0.624108 0.752475 0.897345 1.054733 1.237599
2024-12-22 0.336295 0.454070 0.590066 0.756058 0.950595 1.168929 1.430047
2024-12-29 0.293753 0.427868 0.589745 0.794599 1.042144 1.327160 1.675654
2025-01-05 0.245415 0.387283 0.566515 0.801593 1.094114 1.439034 1.869359
2025-01-12 0.206040 0.352284 0.545444 0.807427 1.142224 1.545410 2.057304
2025-01-19 0.178742 0.329508 0.536912 0.826662 1.205504 1.669887 2.268049
2025-01-26 0.157887 0.312734 0.533980 0.851419 1.274886 1.801964 2.489262
2025-02-02 0.139845 0.297443 0.531036 0.874686 1.341656 1.930957 2.707843
2025-02-09 0.117595 0.272047 0.510843 0.872083 1.372917 2.014365 2.869836
2025-02-16 0.102692 0.256493 0.503362 0.885880 1.425257 2.124581 3.066112
2025-02-23 0.086257 0.235471 0.485324 0.882757 1.453407 2.202898 3.221993
2025-03-02 0.067782 0.207502 0.454120 0.858969 1.452750 2.244336 3.332866
2025-03-09 0.058774 0.196563 0.449526 0.874331 1.506780 2.358687 3.539267
2025-03-16 0.046774 0.176533 0.427446 0.861204 1.519181 2.416854 3.672662
2025-03-23 0.042461 0.173093 0.433906 0.892663 1.596248 2.563273 3.923465
2025-03-30 0.035030 0.160220 0.422009 0.893849 1.628584 2.648700 4.094193
2025-04-06 0.028846 0.148771 0.411463 0.896268 1.662203 2.735818 4.267630
2025-04-13 0.025018 0.142799 0.410725 0.914525 1.719478 2.856089 4.486335
2025-04-20 0.022233 0.139161 0.414130 0.939548 1.787086 2.991223 4.725932
2025-04-27 0.019670 0.135463 0.416992 0.963496 1.853239 3.124859 4.964511
2025-05-04 0.015593 0.124929 0.404562 0.960182 1.877030 3.198647 5.122203
2025-05-11 0.013182 0.119515 0.402423 0.974562 1.928205 3.311581 5.333973